Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 7.398746 8.450400 9.609304 10.982938 12.569028 14.345710 16.490642
2025-08-17 5.866936 7.204747 8.796792 10.837662 13.394034 16.502683 20.588419
2025-08-24 4.937134 6.383606 8.202078 10.668709 13.946827 18.180791 24.107465
2025-08-31 4.262211 5.744874 7.693505 10.461289 14.322791 19.564985 27.298591
2025-09-07 3.956610 5.533104 7.688487 10.878690 15.528400 22.131682 32.350797
2025-09-14 3.621358 5.230183 7.507281 11.002371 16.297767 24.126379 36.773346
2025-09-21 3.302053 4.908733 7.254618 10.975309 16.814078 25.767796 40.812695
2025-09-28 3.007159 4.589200 6.965457 10.849076 17.143410 27.127271 44.526582
2025-10-05 2.867130 4.488880 6.993112 11.208115 18.260188 29.825924 50.726757
2025-10-12 2.724826 4.368932 6.974075 11.481495 19.251667 32.403516 57.003244
2025-10-19 2.621089 4.299664 7.026182 11.870658 20.466952 35.469800 64.490679
2025-10-26 2.400160 4.015961 6.697629 11.574063 20.448718 36.359494 68.061900
2025-11-02 2.221054 3.790880 6.453274 11.409140 20.662258 37.710859 72.722329
2025-11-09 2.063199 3.589310 6.232036 11.263495 20.893498 39.113447 77.649395
2025-11-16 1.916797 3.395481 6.007202 11.087562 21.044055 40.366609 82.409649
2025-11-23 1.778959 3.205750 5.773507 10.871417 21.090448 41.410711 86.845075
2025-11-30 1.742460 3.199057 5.874580 11.306395 22.467696 45.263360 97.788582
2025-12-07 1.668388 3.115523 5.823691 11.435294 23.231038 47.923251 106.422426
2025-12-14 1.581030 2.999606 5.701051 11.407090 23.660531 49.914035 113.771834
2025-12-21 1.488829 2.867240 5.535780 11.275532 23.853958 51.406441 120.130507
2025-12-28 1.458797 2.855613 5.608872 11.649727 25.186243 55.568536 133.487282
2026-01-04 1.420625 2.824480 5.639550 11.934671 26.345860 59.458883 146.693352
2026-01-11 1.396028 2.819155 5.722457 12.340329 27.820644 64.244031 162.852662